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Should I Buy Calvert-Lewin?

Data-driven buy/hold/sell analysis for FPL 2025/26.

Calvert-Lewin (Forward, £5.7m) is the 7th highest-scoring forward in FPL 2025/26 with 118 points and easy fixtures ahead — form is a concern for current owners. Our algorithm rates this transfer as HOLD with 40% confidence.

Calvert-Lewin
HOLD
Confidence: 40%
LEE Leeds · Forward · £5.7m

Key Metrics

2.5
Current Form
118
Total Points
11.8%
Ownership
3.9
Pts/Game
-10,489
Net Transfers
2.2
Avg FDR (Next 6)

Upcoming Fixtures

GWOpponentVenueFDR
GW33 Bournemouth Away Medium (3)
GW35 Burnley Home Easy (1)
GW36 Spurs Away Easy (2)
GW37 Brighton Home Medium (3)
GW38 West Ham Away Easy (2)

Alternatives

Similar-priced forwards to consider instead.

PlayerClubPriceFormPointsOwned
BetoBeto EVEEVE £5.0m 10.3 91 3.3%
OsulaOsula NEWNEW £5.4m 6.0 48 0.3%
Igor JesusIgor Jesus NFONFO £5.8m 5.7 90 1.3%
FlemmingFlemming BURBUR £5.3m 4.0 80 0.4%
WelbeckWelbeck BHABHA £6.3m 4.0 110 8.7%

Related

Analyst Notes

Sell signal: Form has dropped to 2.5 and 10,489 managers have transferred out this gameweek. A price drop may be imminent.

Fixture sweet spot: Average fixture difficulty of 2.0 over the next 3 games. This is prime time to own Calvert-Lewin.

How We Calculate This

Transfer recommendations factor in form trajectory over the last 5 gameweeks, fixture swing across the next 6 matches (avg FDR: 2.2), price change probability based on net transfer volume (-10,489 this GW), and ownership trends among all managers. The buy score combines current form, points per 90 minutes, fixture difficulty, and transfer momentum into a 0–100 confidence rating. Alternatives are filtered to the same position within ±£1.5m of Calvert-Lewin's price and ranked by recent form. All data sourced from the official FPL API, refreshed every 3 hours.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I buy Calvert-Lewin in FPL?
Our analysis gives Calvert-Lewin a HOLD rating (40/100). Current form: 2.5, price: £5.7m, ownership: 11.8%.
Will Calvert-Lewin rise in FPL price?
Calvert-Lewin has net 10,489 transfers out, suggesting price could drop.
Who should I get instead of Calvert-Lewin?
Top alternatives at similar price: Beto (£5.0m, form: 10.3), Osula (£5.4m, form: 6.0), Igor Jesus (£5.8m, form: 5.7).
Is Calvert-Lewin worth a transfer hit in FPL?
At a 40% rating, Calvert-Lewin is a reasonable free transfer but probably not worth a -4 hit unless you have no other fires to fight.
Is Calvert-Lewin a good FPL differential?
At 11.8% ownership, Calvert-Lewin is a moderate differential — not template but not a huge risk either.
What are Calvert-Lewin's upcoming fixtures?
Calvert-Lewin's next 6 fixtures have an average difficulty of 2.2 out of 5. This is a very favourable run that supports buying.
What is Calvert-Lewin's expected minutes risk?
Calvert-Lewin has played 2293 minutes this season. He is a regular starter with minimal rotation risk.

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