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Should I Buy Justin?

Data-driven buy/hold/sell analysis for FPL 2025/26.

Justin (Defender, £3.9m) is the 59th highest-scoring defender in FPL 2025/26 with 78 points and easy fixtures ahead — an underowned differential worth considering. Our algorithm rates this transfer as BUY with 65% confidence.

Justin
BUY
Confidence: 65%
LEE Leeds · Defender · £3.9m

Key Metrics

5.8
Current Form
78
Total Points
1.3%
Ownership
3.2
Pts/Game
+127
Net Transfers
2.2
Avg FDR (Next 6)

Upcoming Fixtures

GWOpponentVenueFDR
GW33 Bournemouth Away Medium (3)
GW35 Burnley Home Easy (1)
GW36 Spurs Away Easy (2)
GW37 Brighton Home Medium (3)
GW38 West Ham Away Easy (2)

Alternatives

Similar-priced defenders to consider instead.

PlayerClubPriceFormPointsOwned
N.WilliamsN.Williams NFONFO £4.8m 9.3 117 4.3%
MavropanosMavropanos WHUWHU £4.4m 8.0 98 0.9%
O'ReillyO'Reilly MCIMCI £5.1m 7.0 146 13.6%
KayodeKayode BREBRE £4.6m 6.0 104 1.1%
ShawShaw MUNMUN £4.5m 5.5 88 0.8%

Related

Analyst Notes

Captain contender: Justin's 5.8 form rating combined with favourable upcoming fixtures (avg FDR 2.0) makes a compelling captaincy case.

Fixture sweet spot: Average fixture difficulty of 2.0 over the next 3 games. This is prime time to own Justin.

How We Calculate This

Transfer recommendations factor in form trajectory over the last 5 gameweeks, fixture swing across the next 6 matches (avg FDR: 2.2), price change probability based on net transfer volume (+127 this GW), and ownership trends among all managers. The buy score combines current form, points per 90 minutes, fixture difficulty, and transfer momentum into a 0–100 confidence rating. Alternatives are filtered to the same position within ±£1.5m of Justin's price and ranked by recent form. All data sourced from the official FPL API, refreshed every 3 hours.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I buy Justin in FPL?
Our analysis gives Justin a BUY rating (65/100). Current form: 5.8, price: £3.9m, ownership: 1.3%.
Will Justin rise in FPL price?
Justin has net 127 transfers in this gameweek, suggesting price could rise.
Who should I get instead of Justin?
Top alternatives at similar price: N.Williams (£4.8m, form: 9.3), Mavropanos (£4.4m, form: 8.0), O'Reilly (£5.1m, form: 7.0).
Is Justin worth a transfer hit in FPL?
At a 65% rating, Justin is a reasonable free transfer but probably not worth a -4 hit unless you have no other fires to fight.
Is Justin a good FPL differential?
Yes, at 1.3% ownership, Justin is a strong differential who could provide significant rank gains if he delivers.
What are Justin's upcoming fixtures?
Justin's next 6 fixtures have an average difficulty of 2.2 out of 5. This is a very favourable run that supports buying.
What is Justin's expected minutes risk?
Justin has played 1443 minutes this season. He plays most matches but may face occasional rotation.

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