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Should I Buy Lucas Pires?

Data-driven buy/hold/sell analysis for FPL 2025/26.

Lucas Pires (Defender, £3.8m) is the 135th highest-scoring defender in FPL 2025/26 with 20 points and mixed fixtures ahead — form is a concern for current owners. Our algorithm rates this transfer as SELL with 0% confidence.

Lucas Pires
SELL
Confidence: 0%
BUR Burnley · Defender · £3.8m

Key Metrics

0.2
Current Form
20
Total Points
0.3%
Ownership
1.2
Pts/Game
-151
Net Transfers
3.2
Avg FDR (Next 6)

Upcoming Fixtures

GWOpponentVenueFDR
GW33 Man City Home Hard (4)
GW35 Leeds Away Medium (3)
GW36 Aston Villa Home Medium (3)
GW37 Arsenal Away Very Hard (5)
GW38 Wolves Home Easy (1)

Alternatives

Similar-priced defenders to consider instead.

PlayerClubPriceFormPointsOwned
N.WilliamsN.Williams NFONFO £4.8m 9.3 117 4.3%
MavropanosMavropanos WHUWHU £4.4m 8.0 98 0.9%
O'ReillyO'Reilly MCIMCI £5.1m 7.0 146 13.6%
KayodeKayode BREBRE £4.6m 6.0 104 1.1%
JustinJustin LEELEE £3.9m 5.8 78 1.3%

Related

FPL Team Analyzer Lucas Pires Profile Burnley Hub Best Defenders Anthony Dúbravka Captain pick analysis FPL price tracker Player comparison tool Burnley Fixtures Top Scorers All Players FPL Differential Picks

How We Calculate This

Transfer recommendations factor in form trajectory over the last 5 gameweeks, fixture swing across the next 6 matches (avg FDR: 3.2), price change probability based on net transfer volume (-151 this GW), and ownership trends among all managers. The buy score combines current form, points per 90 minutes, fixture difficulty, and transfer momentum into a 0–100 confidence rating. Alternatives are filtered to the same position within ±£1.5m of Lucas Pires's price and ranked by recent form. All data sourced from the official FPL API, refreshed every 3 hours.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I buy Lucas Pires in FPL?
Our analysis gives Lucas Pires a SELL rating (0/100). Current form: 0.2, price: £3.8m, ownership: 0.3%.
Will Lucas Pires rise in FPL price?
Lucas Pires has net 151 transfers out, suggesting price could drop.
Who should I get instead of Lucas Pires?
Top alternatives at similar price: N.Williams (£4.8m, form: 9.3), Mavropanos (£4.4m, form: 8.0), O'Reilly (£5.1m, form: 7.0).
Is Lucas Pires worth a transfer hit in FPL?
With only a 0% rating, Lucas Pires is unlikely to recover the -4 cost quickly. Save your transfer or look at alternatives.
Is Lucas Pires a good FPL differential?
Yes, at 0.3% ownership, Lucas Pires is a strong differential who could provide significant rank gains if he delivers.
What are Lucas Pires's upcoming fixtures?
Lucas Pires's next 6 fixtures have an average difficulty of 3.2 out of 5. A mixed fixture run — timing your transfer carefully matters.
What is Lucas Pires's expected minutes risk?
Lucas Pires has played 1110 minutes this season. He plays most matches but may face occasional rotation.

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