Last refreshed 19 Apr 2026 22:56 UTC

Should I Buy Mateta?

Data-driven buy/hold/sell analysis for FPL 2025/26.

Mateta (Forward, £7.5m) is the 13th highest-scoring forward in FPL 2025/26 with 97 points and mixed fixtures ahead — one to watch this gameweek. Our algorithm rates this transfer as HOLD with 55% confidence.

HOLD

Confidence: 55%

Crystal Palace · Forward · £7.5m

Key Metrics

6.0

Current Form

Total Points

7.3%

Ownership

3.9

Pts/Game

+15,537

Net Transfers

3.2

Avg FDR (Next 6)

Upcoming Fixtures

GW	Opponent	Venue	FDR
GW33	West Ham	Home	Easy (2)
GW34	Liverpool	Away	Hard (4)
GW35	Bournemouth	Away	Medium (3)
GW36	Everton	Home	Medium (3)
GW37	Brentford	Away	Medium (3)
GW38	Arsenal	Home	Hard (4)

Alternatives

Similar-priced forwards to consider instead.

Player	Club	Price	Form	Points	Owned
Watkins	AVL	£8.6m	9.0	127	9.7%
Thiago	BRE	£7.3m	6.3	168	34.9%
Bowen	WHU	£7.7m	5.3	157	11.5%
Welbeck	BHA	£6.3m	4.0	110	8.7%
Havertz	ARS	£7.3m	3.5	19	0.5%

Analyst Notes

Returns magnet: 10 goals this season. Mateta consistently delivers attacking returns that keep the points ticking over.

How We Calculate This

Transfer recommendations factor in form trajectory over the last 5 gameweeks, fixture swing across the next 6 matches (avg FDR: 3.2), price change probability based on net transfer volume (+15,537 this GW), and ownership trends among all managers. The buy score combines current form, points per 90 minutes, fixture difficulty, and transfer momentum into a 0–100 confidence rating. Alternatives are filtered to the same position within ±£1.5m of Mateta's price and ranked by recent form. All data sourced from the official FPL API, refreshed every 3 hours.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I buy Mateta in FPL?

Our analysis gives Mateta a HOLD rating (55/100). Current form: 6.0, price: £7.5m, ownership: 7.3%.

Will Mateta rise in FPL price?

Mateta has net 15,537 transfers in this gameweek, suggesting price could rise.

Who should I get instead of Mateta?

Top alternatives at similar price: Watkins (£8.6m, form: 9.0), Thiago (£7.3m, form: 6.3), Bowen (£7.7m, form: 5.3).

Is Mateta worth a transfer hit in FPL?

At a 55% rating, Mateta is a reasonable free transfer but probably not worth a -4 hit unless you have no other fires to fight.

Is Mateta a good FPL differential?

Yes, at 7.3% ownership, Mateta is a strong differential who could provide significant rank gains if he delivers.

What are Mateta's upcoming fixtures?

Mateta's next 6 fixtures have an average difficulty of 3.2 out of 5. A mixed fixture run — timing your transfer carefully matters.

What is Mateta's expected minutes risk?

Mateta has played 1959 minutes this season. He is a regular starter with minimal rotation risk.

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