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Should I Buy Spence?

Data-driven buy/hold/sell analysis for FPL 2025/26.

Spence (Defender, £4.1m) is the 76th highest-scoring defender in FPL 2025/26 with 61 points and mixed fixtures ahead — form is a concern for current owners. Our algorithm rates this transfer as SELL with 20% confidence.

Spence
SELL
Confidence: 20%
TOT Spurs · Defender · £4.1m

Key Metrics

0.7
Current Form
61
Total Points
0.9%
Ownership
2.4
Pts/Game
-14
Net Transfers
2.8
Avg FDR (Next 6)

Upcoming Fixtures

GWOpponentVenueFDR
GW34 Wolves Away Easy (2)
GW35 Aston Villa Away Hard (4)
GW36 Leeds Home Easy (2)
GW37 Chelsea Away Medium (3)
GW38 Everton Home Medium (3)

Alternatives

Similar-priced defenders to consider instead.

PlayerClubPriceFormPointsOwned
N.WilliamsN.Williams NFONFO £4.8m 9.3 117 4.3%
MavropanosMavropanos WHUWHU £4.4m 8.0 98 0.9%
O'ReillyO'Reilly MCIMCI £5.1m 7.0 146 13.6%
KayodeKayode BREBRE £4.6m 6.0 104 1.1%
JustinJustin LEELEE £3.9m 5.8 78 1.3%

Related

How We Calculate This

Transfer recommendations factor in form trajectory over the last 5 gameweeks, fixture swing across the next 6 matches (avg FDR: 2.8), price change probability based on net transfer volume (-14 this GW), and ownership trends among all managers. The buy score combines current form, points per 90 minutes, fixture difficulty, and transfer momentum into a 0–100 confidence rating. Alternatives are filtered to the same position within ±£1.5m of Spence's price and ranked by recent form. All data sourced from the official FPL API, refreshed every 3 hours.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I buy Spence in FPL?
Our analysis gives Spence a SELL rating (20/100). Current form: 0.7, price: £4.1m, ownership: 0.9%.
Will Spence rise in FPL price?
Spence has net 14 transfers out, suggesting price could drop.
Who should I get instead of Spence?
Top alternatives at similar price: N.Williams (£4.8m, form: 9.3), Mavropanos (£4.4m, form: 8.0), O'Reilly (£5.1m, form: 7.0).
Is Spence worth a transfer hit in FPL?
With only a 20% rating, Spence is unlikely to recover the -4 cost quickly. Save your transfer or look at alternatives.
Is Spence a good FPL differential?
Yes, at 0.9% ownership, Spence is a strong differential who could provide significant rank gains if he delivers.
What are Spence's upcoming fixtures?
Spence's next 6 fixtures have an average difficulty of 2.8 out of 5. A mixed fixture run — timing your transfer carefully matters.
What is Spence's expected minutes risk?
Spence has played 1820 minutes this season. He is a regular starter with minimal rotation risk.

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