Last refreshed 18 Jun 2026 14:17 UTC

Should I Buy Thiago?

Data-driven buy/hold/sell analysis for FPL 2025/26.

Thiago (Forward, £7.2m) is the 3rd highest-scoring forward in FPL 2025/26 with 181 points — form is a concern for current owners. Our algorithm rates this transfer as HOLD with 35% confidence.

HOLD

Confidence: 35%

Brentford · Forward · £7.2m

Key Metrics

2.0

Current Form

181

Total Points

30.2%

Ownership

4.8

Pts/Game

Net Transfers

3.0

Avg FDR (Next 6)

Upcoming Fixtures

GW	Opponent	Venue	FDR

Alternatives

Similar-priced forwards to consider instead.

Player	Club	Price	Form	Points	Owned
Watkins	AVL	£8.7m	13.0	167	13.0%
Bowen	WHU	£7.8m	12.0	187	17.5%
Mateta	CRY	£7.6m	6.0	114	8.1%
G.Jesus	ARS	£6.4m	5.0	24	0.4%
Wilson	WHU	£5.8m	5.0	80	0.6%

Analyst Notes

Season standout: Ranked 3rd among all forwards by total points (181). A proven performer who anchors many top-ranked squads.

Returns magnet: 22 goals this season. Thiago consistently delivers attacking returns that keep the points ticking over.

How We Calculate This

Transfer recommendations factor in form trajectory over the last 5 gameweeks, fixture swing across the next 6 matches (avg FDR: 3.0), price change probability based on net transfer volume (0 this GW), and ownership trends among all managers. The buy score combines current form, points per 90 minutes, fixture difficulty, and transfer momentum into a 0–100 confidence rating. Alternatives are filtered to the same position within ±£1.5m of Thiago's price and ranked by recent form. All data sourced from the official FPL API, refreshed every 3 hours.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I buy Thiago in FPL?

Our analysis gives Thiago a HOLD rating (35/100). Current form: 2.0, price: £7.2m, ownership: 30.2%.

Will Thiago rise in FPL price?

Thiago has net 0 transfers out, suggesting price could drop.

Who should I get instead of Thiago?

Top alternatives at similar price: Watkins (£8.7m, form: 13.0), Bowen (£7.8m, form: 12.0), Mateta (£7.6m, form: 6.0).

Is Thiago worth a transfer hit in FPL?

With only a 35% rating, Thiago is unlikely to recover the -4 cost quickly. Save your transfer or look at alternatives.

Is Thiago a good FPL differential?

No, at 30.2% ownership Thiago is a popular pick. He won't offer differential gains but is important to own if he hauls.

What are Thiago's upcoming fixtures?

Thiago's next 6 fixtures have an average difficulty of 3.0 out of 5. A mixed fixture run — timing your transfer carefully matters.

What is Thiago's expected minutes risk?

Thiago has played 3282 minutes this season. He is a regular starter with minimal rotation risk.

Get Personalized Advice on Thiago

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