Last refreshed 19 Apr 2026 22:56 UTC

Should I Buy Thiago?

Data-driven buy/hold/sell analysis for FPL 2025/26.

Thiago (Forward, £7.3m) is the 2nd highest-scoring forward in FPL 2025/26 with 168 points and tough fixtures ahead — a reliable FPL asset. Our algorithm rates this transfer as HOLD with 60% confidence.

HOLD

Confidence: 60%

Brentford · Forward · £7.3m

Key Metrics

6.3

Current Form

168

Total Points

34.9%

Ownership

5.1

Pts/Game

+32,129

Net Transfers

3.6

Avg FDR (Next 6)

Upcoming Fixtures

GW	Opponent	Venue	FDR
GW34	Man Utd	Away	Hard (4)
GW35	West Ham	Home	Easy (2)
GW36	Man City	Away	Very Hard (5)
GW37	Crystal Palace	Home	Medium (3)
GW38	Liverpool	Away	Hard (4)

Alternatives

Similar-priced forwards to consider instead.

Player	Club	Price	Form	Points	Owned
Watkins	AVL	£8.6m	9.0	127	9.7%
Mateta	CRY	£7.5m	6.0	97	7.3%
Igor Jesus	NFO	£5.8m	5.7	90	1.3%
Bowen	WHU	£7.7m	5.3	157	11.5%
Welbeck	BHA	£6.3m	4.0	110	8.7%

Analyst Notes

Season standout: Ranked 2nd among all forwards by total points (168). A proven performer who anchors many top-ranked squads.

Template pick: Owned by 34.9% of managers with 6.3 form. Not owning Thiago is a significant risk in mini-leagues.

How We Calculate This

Transfer recommendations factor in form trajectory over the last 5 gameweeks, fixture swing across the next 6 matches (avg FDR: 3.6), price change probability based on net transfer volume (+32,129 this GW), and ownership trends among all managers. The buy score combines current form, points per 90 minutes, fixture difficulty, and transfer momentum into a 0–100 confidence rating. Alternatives are filtered to the same position within ±£1.5m of Thiago's price and ranked by recent form. All data sourced from the official FPL API, refreshed every 3 hours.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I buy Thiago in FPL?

Our analysis gives Thiago a HOLD rating (60/100). Current form: 6.3, price: £7.3m, ownership: 34.9%.

Will Thiago rise in FPL price?

Thiago has net 32,129 transfers in this gameweek, suggesting price could rise.

Who should I get instead of Thiago?

Top alternatives at similar price: Watkins (£8.6m, form: 9.0), Mateta (£7.5m, form: 6.0), Igor Jesus (£5.8m, form: 5.7).

Is Thiago worth a transfer hit in FPL?

At a 60% rating, Thiago is a reasonable free transfer but probably not worth a -4 hit unless you have no other fires to fight.

Is Thiago a good FPL differential?

No, at 34.9% ownership Thiago is a popular pick. He won't offer differential gains but is important to own if he hauls.

What are Thiago's upcoming fixtures?

Thiago's next 6 fixtures have an average difficulty of 3.6 out of 5. Tough fixtures ahead — you may want to wait for a better entry point.

What is Thiago's expected minutes risk?

Thiago has played 2832 minutes this season. He is a regular starter with minimal rotation risk.

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