Last refreshed

Should I Buy Murillo?

Data-driven buy/hold/sell analysis for FPL 2025/26.

Murillo (Defender, £5.2m) is the 54th highest-scoring defender in FPL 2025/26 with 83 points and mixed fixtures ahead — form is a concern for current owners. Our algorithm rates this transfer as SELL with 20% confidence.

Murillo
SELL
Confidence: 20%
NFO Nott'm Forest · Defender · £5.2m

Key Metrics

2.7
Current Form
83
Total Points
2.1%
Ownership
3.3
Pts/Game
-2,285
Net Transfers
3.2
Avg FDR (Next 6)

Upcoming Fixtures

GWOpponentVenueFDR
GW34 Sunderland Away Medium (3)
GW35 Chelsea Away Medium (3)
GW36 Newcastle Home Medium (3)
GW37 Man Utd Away Hard (4)
GW38 Bournemouth Home Medium (3)

Alternatives

Similar-priced defenders to consider instead.

PlayerClubPriceFormPointsOwned
N.WilliamsN.Williams NFONFO £4.8m 9.3 117 4.3%
MavropanosMavropanos WHUWHU £4.4m 8.0 98 0.9%
O'ReillyO'Reilly MCIMCI £5.1m 7.0 146 13.6%
VirgilVirgil LIVLIV £6.2m 6.7 152 32.7%
KayodeKayode BREBRE £4.6m 6.0 104 1.1%

Related

FPL Team Analyzer Murillo Profile Nott'm Forest Hub Best Defenders Gibbs-White Anderson FPL captaincy tool Price change predictions Compare FPL players Injury Tracker Nott'm Forest Fixtures Top Scorers All Players FPL AI Tool

How We Calculate This

Transfer recommendations factor in form trajectory over the last 5 gameweeks, fixture swing across the next 6 matches (avg FDR: 3.2), price change probability based on net transfer volume (-2,285 this GW), and ownership trends among all managers. The buy score combines current form, points per 90 minutes, fixture difficulty, and transfer momentum into a 0–100 confidence rating. Alternatives are filtered to the same position within ±£1.5m of Murillo's price and ranked by recent form. All data sourced from the official FPL API, refreshed every 3 hours.

Frequently Asked Questions

Should I buy Murillo in FPL?
Our analysis gives Murillo a SELL rating (20/100). Current form: 2.7, price: £5.2m, ownership: 2.1%.
Will Murillo rise in FPL price?
Murillo has net 2,285 transfers out, suggesting price could drop.
Who should I get instead of Murillo?
Top alternatives at similar price: N.Williams (£4.8m, form: 9.3), Mavropanos (£4.4m, form: 8.0), O'Reilly (£5.1m, form: 7.0).
Is Murillo worth a transfer hit in FPL?
With only a 20% rating, Murillo is unlikely to recover the -4 cost quickly. Save your transfer or look at alternatives.
Is Murillo a good FPL differential?
Yes, at 2.1% ownership, Murillo is a strong differential who could provide significant rank gains if he delivers.
What are Murillo's upcoming fixtures?
Murillo's next 6 fixtures have an average difficulty of 3.2 out of 5. A mixed fixture run — timing your transfer carefully matters.
What is Murillo's expected minutes risk?
Murillo has played 2130 minutes this season. He is a regular starter with minimal rotation risk.

Get Personalized Advice on Murillo

Our AI can analyze your specific squad to determine if this transfer makes sense for you.

Analyze My Team