Last refreshed
Murillo

MurilloCosta dos Santos

NFO Nott'm Forest Defender
£5.2mPrice
83Points
1.8%Owned
Muscle injury - Expected back 01 Jun
FPLai Verdict

Risk

Muscle injury - Expected back 01 Jun makes minutes less secure, even if the price or fixture looks tempting.

Next Action

Check replacements and avoid captaining unless team news improves.

No major transfer swing detected in the current gameweek.

Should I buy Murillo?

Murillo (Defender, £5.2m) is the 66th highest-scoring defender in FPL 2025/26 with 83 points — form is a concern for current owners. Our algorithm rates this transfer as SELL with 20% confidence.

SELL
Confidence: 20% · Defender · £5.2m
0.0
Form
0
Net Transfers
3.0
Avg FDR
3.3
Pts/Game

Alternatives to monitor

Transfer recommendations factor in form trajectory, fixture swing across the next 6 matches, price change probability from net transfer volume, ownership trends, and expected minutes. Alternatives are filtered to the same position within ±£1.5m of Murillo's price and ranked by recent form.

Season stats

Murillo has accumulated 83 points from 2130 minutes across 25 starts this season. At £5.2m, that delivers 16.0 points per million, below the defender average of 16.2.

83
Total Points
1
Goals
0
Assists
6
Clean Sheets
3
Bonus
2130
Minutes
25
Starts
333
BPS Total

Value and price

£5.5m
Start Price
£5.2m
Current Price
£-0.3m
Price Change
16.0
Pts / £1m

Archive signals

76
Defender Avg Points
16.2
Defender Avg Pts/£m
-552,907
Net Transfers
74
ICT Index
0.7
xG
0.5
xA
1.2
xGI
82
Threat

Season totals are sourced from the FPL bootstrap-static API. Expected stats come from Premier League Opta feeds, ICT Index measures Influence, Creativity and Threat, and price changes reflect market movement since the start of the season. Team context: Nott'm Forest.

Murillo (Defender, £5.2m) is the 66th highest-scoring defender in FPL 2025/26 with 83 points — form is a concern for current owners.

£5.2m
Price
83
Total Points
0.0
Form
1.8%
Ownership
3.3
Pts/Game
2130
Minutes

Transfer Activity

+0
Transfers In (GW)
-0
Transfers Out (GW)

Performance

1
Goals
0
Assists
6
Clean Sheets
3
Bonus Points
5
Yellow Cards
0.73
xG

Related

Data sourced from the official FPL API.

How We Calculate This

Our AI model analyses Murillo's recent form over the last 5 gameweeks, weighting expected goals (xG: 0.73), expected assists (xA: 0.47), and bonus point probability. Fixture difficulty is scored 1–5 based on opponent defensive strength using the official FPL difficulty rating. Transfer recommendations combine form trajectory, fixture swing over the next 6 gameweeks, price change probability based on net transfer volume, and ownership trends. All data is sourced from the official FPL API and refreshed every 3 hours.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Murillo worth buying in FPL?
Murillo is currently priced at £5.2m with a form rating of 0.0. He has scored 83 total points this season and is selected by 1.8% of managers. Consider his upcoming fixtures before investing.
What is Murillo's FPL price?
Murillo's current FPL price is £5.2m. He plays as a defender for Nott'm Forest.
How many FPL points has Murillo scored?
Murillo has scored 83 FPL points this season across 2130 minutes played. His form rating is 0.0 and he averages 3.3 points per game.
Is Murillo a good captain in FPL?
Murillo has 0.0 form and an avg fixture difficulty of 3.0. Consider higher-form alternatives as captain.
Best replacements for Murillo in FPL?
Top alternatives at a similar price: Guéhi (£5.1m, form: 0.0), Virgil (£6.1m, form: 0.0), Senesi (£5.2m, form: 0.0).
What are Murillo's upcoming FPL fixtures?
Fixture data not yet available.
What is Murillo's ownership percentage in FPL?
Murillo is currently owned by 1.8% of FPL managers. With under 10% ownership, he qualifies as a differential pick who could provide significant rank gains.
How has Murillo's FPL price changed this season?
Murillo started the season at £5.5m and is now priced at £5.2m, a fall of £0.3m. Price has been relatively stable.
Should I buy Murillo in FPL?
Our analysis gives Murillo a SELL rating (20/100). Current form: 0.0, price: £5.2m, ownership: 1.8%.
Will Murillo rise in FPL price?
Murillo has net 0 transfers out, suggesting price could drop.
Who should I get instead of Murillo?
Top alternatives at similar price: Guéhi (£5.1m, form: 0.0), Virgil (£6.1m, form: 0.0), Senesi (£5.2m, form: 0.0).
Is Murillo worth a transfer hit in FPL?
With only a 20% rating, Murillo is unlikely to recover the -4 cost quickly. Save your transfer or look at alternatives.
What is Murillo's expected minutes risk?
Murillo has played 2130 minutes this season. He is a regular starter with minimal rotation risk.
How many FPL points does Murillo have in 2025/26?
Murillo has 83 total points in the 2025/26 FPL season, with 1 goals, 0 assists, and 3 bonus points from 2130 minutes.
Is Murillo good value in FPL?
At £5.2m, Murillo delivers 16.0 points per million, which is below the defender average of 16.2. There may be better value alternatives at this price point.
How much has Murillo's FPL price changed?
Murillo started the season at £5.5m and is now £5.2m — a fall of £0.3m.
What are Murillo's expected stats in FPL 2025/26?
Murillo's expected stats: 0.7 xG, 0.5 xA, 1.2 xGI. ICT Index: 74 (Influence 542, Creativity 116, Threat 82).

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