Last refreshed
Carvalho

FábioFreitas Gouveia Carvalho

BRE Brentford Midfielder
£4.6mPrice
13Points
0.1%Owned
Knee injury - Expected back 01 Jun
FPLai Verdict

Risk

Knee injury - Expected back 01 Jun makes minutes less secure, even if the price or fixture looks tempting.

Next Action

Check replacements and avoid captaining unless team news improves.

No major transfer swing detected in the current gameweek.

Should I buy Carvalho?

Carvalho (Midfielder, £4.6m) is the 186th highest-scoring midfielder in FPL 2025/26 with 13 points. Our algorithm rates this transfer as SELL with 20% confidence.

SELL
Confidence: 20% · Midfielder · £4.6m
0.0
Form
0
Net Transfers
3.0
Avg FDR
2.2
Pts/Game

Alternatives to monitor

Transfer recommendations factor in form trajectory, fixture swing across the next 6 matches, price change probability from net transfer volume, ownership trends, and expected minutes. Alternatives are filtered to the same position within ±£1.5m of Carvalho's price and ranked by recent form.

Season stats

Carvalho has accumulated 13 points from 100 minutes across 1 starts this season. At £4.6m, that delivers 2.8 points per million, below the midfielder average of 14.3.

13
Total Points
1
Goals
0
Assists
0
Clean Sheets
1
Bonus
100
Minutes
1
Starts
42
BPS Total

Value and price

£5.0m
Start Price
£4.6m
Current Price
£-0.4m
Price Change
2.8
Pts / £1m

Archive signals

82
Midfielder Avg Points
14.3
Midfielder Avg Pts/£m
-24,404
Net Transfers
8
ICT Index
0.7
xG
0.0
xA
0.7
xGI
36
Threat

Season totals are sourced from the FPL bootstrap-static API. Expected stats come from Premier League Opta feeds, ICT Index measures Influence, Creativity and Threat, and price changes reflect market movement since the start of the season. Team context: Brentford.

Carvalho (Midfielder, £4.6m) is the 186th highest-scoring midfielder in FPL 2025/26 with 13 points.

£4.6m
Price
13
Total Points
0.0
Form
0.1%
Ownership
2.2
Pts/Game
100
Minutes

Transfer Activity

+0
Transfers In (GW)
-0
Transfers Out (GW)

Performance

1
Goals
0
Assists
0
Clean Sheets
1
Bonus Points
0
Yellow Cards
0.70
xG

Related

Data sourced from the official FPL API.

How We Calculate This

Our AI model analyses Carvalho's recent form over the last 5 gameweeks, weighting expected goals (xG: 0.70), expected assists (xA: 0.03), and bonus point probability. Fixture difficulty is scored 1–5 based on opponent defensive strength using the official FPL difficulty rating. Transfer recommendations combine form trajectory, fixture swing over the next 6 gameweeks, price change probability based on net transfer volume, and ownership trends. All data is sourced from the official FPL API and refreshed every 3 hours.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Carvalho worth buying in FPL?
Carvalho is currently priced at £4.6m with a form rating of 0.0. He has scored 13 total points this season and is selected by 0.1% of managers. Consider his upcoming fixtures before investing.
What is Carvalho's FPL price?
Carvalho's current FPL price is £4.6m. He plays as a midfielder for Brentford.
How many FPL points has Carvalho scored?
Carvalho has scored 13 FPL points this season across 100 minutes played. His form rating is 0.0 and he averages 2.2 points per game.
Is Carvalho a good captain in FPL?
Carvalho has 0.0 form and an avg fixture difficulty of 3.0. Consider higher-form alternatives as captain.
Best replacements for Carvalho in FPL?
Top alternatives at a similar price: Wilson (£5.8m, form: 0.0), Anderson (£5.7m, form: 0.0), Reijnders (£5.0m, form: 0.0).
What are Carvalho's upcoming FPL fixtures?
Fixture data not yet available.
What is Carvalho's ownership percentage in FPL?
Carvalho is currently owned by 0.1% of FPL managers. With under 10% ownership, he qualifies as a differential pick who could provide significant rank gains.
How has Carvalho's FPL price changed this season?
Carvalho started the season at £5.0m and is now priced at £4.6m, a fall of £0.4m. Price has been relatively stable.
Should I buy Carvalho in FPL?
Our analysis gives Carvalho a SELL rating (20/100). Current form: 0.0, price: £4.6m, ownership: 0.1%.
Will Carvalho rise in FPL price?
Carvalho has net 0 transfers out, suggesting price could drop.
Who should I get instead of Carvalho?
Top alternatives at similar price: Wilson (£5.8m, form: 0.0), Anderson (£5.7m, form: 0.0), Reijnders (£5.0m, form: 0.0).
Is Carvalho worth a transfer hit in FPL?
With only a 20% rating, Carvalho is unlikely to recover the -4 cost quickly. Save your transfer or look at alternatives.
What is Carvalho's expected minutes risk?
Carvalho has played 100 minutes this season. Minutes are a concern — he may not be a guaranteed starter, which adds risk to buying him.
How many FPL points does Carvalho have in 2025/26?
Carvalho has 13 total points in the 2025/26 FPL season, with 1 goals, 0 assists, and 1 bonus points from 100 minutes.
Is Carvalho good value in FPL?
At £4.6m, Carvalho delivers 2.8 points per million, which is below the midfielder average of 14.3. There may be better value alternatives at this price point.
How much has Carvalho's FPL price changed?
Carvalho started the season at £5.0m and is now £4.6m — a fall of £0.4m.
What are Carvalho's expected stats in FPL 2025/26?
Carvalho's expected stats: 0.7 xG, 0.0 xA, 0.7 xGI. ICT Index: 8 (Influence 39, Creativity 7, Threat 36).

Get Personalized Transfer Advice

Should you buy Carvalho? Rate your FPL team so the transfer fits your whole squad structure.

Rate My FPL Team