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Calafiori

RiccardoCalafiori

ARS Arsenal Defender
£5.9mPrice
29Points
50.6%Owned
FPLai Verdict

Watchlist

GBP 5.9m with 3.5 form, 50.6% ownership, and an average next-fixture difficulty of 3.0.

Next Action

Compare against alternatives before spending a transfer.

+31,399 net transfers this gameweek.

Should I buy Calafiori?

Calafiori (Defender, £5.9m) is the 8th highest-scoring defender in FPL 2026/27 with 29 points and mixed fixtures ahead. Our algorithm rates this transfer as HOLD with 45% confidence.

HOLD
Confidence: 45% · Defender · £5.9m
3.5
Form
+31,399
Net Transfers
3.0
Avg FDR
5.8
Pts/Game
GWOpponentVenueFDR
GW6 Leeds Home Medium (3)
GW7 Nott'm Forest Away Medium (3)
GW8 Everton Home Medium (3)
GW9 Liverpool Away Hard (4)
GW10 Hull City Home Easy (2)
GW11 Newcastle Away Medium (3)

Alternatives to monitor

Transfer recommendations factor in form trajectory, fixture swing across the next 6 matches, price change probability from net transfer volume, ownership trends, and expected minutes. Alternatives are filtered to the same position within ±£1.5m of Calafiori's price and ranked by recent form.

Season stats

Calafiori has accumulated 29 points from 416 minutes across 5 starts this season. At £5.9m, that delivers 4.9 points per million, above the defender average of 3.4.

29
Total Points
0
Goals
2
Assists
3
Clean Sheets
2
Bonus
416
Minutes
5
Starts
76
BPS Total

Value and price

£5.5m
Start Price
£5.9m
Current Price
+£0.4m
Price Change
4.9
Pts / £1m

Archive signals

16
Defender Avg Points
3.4
Defender Avg Pts/£m
+1,272,900
Net Transfers
19
ICT Index
0.7
xG
0.6
xA
1.3
xGI
66
Threat

Season totals are sourced from the FPL bootstrap-static API. Expected stats come from Premier League Opta feeds, ICT Index measures Influence, Creativity and Threat, and price changes reflect market movement since the start of the season. Team context: Arsenal.

Calafiori (Defender, £5.9m) is the 8th highest-scoring defender in FPL 2026/27 with 29 points and mixed fixtures ahead.

£5.9m
Price
29
Total Points
3.5
Form
50.6%
Ownership
5.8
Pts/Game
416
Minutes

Transfer Activity

+105,129
Transfers In (GW)
-73,730
Transfers Out (GW)

Performance

0
Goals
2
Assists
3
Clean Sheets
2
Bonus Points
0
Yellow Cards
0.67
xG

Upcoming Fixtures

GWOpponentDifficulty
GW6 LEELEE (H) Medium
GW7 NFONFO (A) Medium
GW8 EVEEVE (H) Medium
GW9 LIVLIV (A) Hard
GW10 HULHUL (H) Easy
GW11 NEWNEW (A) Medium

Related

Data sourced from the official FPL API.

Analyst Notes

Value gem: At just £5.9m, Calafiori averages 5.8 points per game — outstanding value that frees up budget elsewhere.

Minutes watch: Only 416 minutes played despite 50.6% ownership. Rotation risk is real — check team news before committing.

How We Calculate This

Our AI model analyses Calafiori's recent form over the last 5 gameweeks, weighting expected goals (xG: 0.67), expected assists (xA: 0.62), and bonus point probability. Fixture difficulty is scored 1–5 based on opponent defensive strength using the official FPL difficulty rating. Transfer recommendations combine form trajectory, fixture swing over the next 6 gameweeks, price change probability based on net transfer volume, and ownership trends. All data is sourced from the official FPL API and refreshed every 3 hours.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Calafiori worth buying in FPL?
Calafiori is currently priced at £5.9m with a form rating of 3.5. He has scored 29 total points this season and is selected by 50.6% of managers. Consider his upcoming fixtures before investing.
What is Calafiori's FPL price?
Calafiori's current FPL price is £5.9m. He plays as a defender for Arsenal.
How many FPL points has Calafiori scored?
Calafiori has scored 29 FPL points this season across 416 minutes played. His form rating is 3.5 and he averages 5.8 points per game.
Is Calafiori a good captain in FPL?
Calafiori has 3.5 form and an avg fixture difficulty of 3.0. Consider higher-form alternatives as captain.
Best replacements for Calafiori in FPL?
Top alternatives at a similar price: Tarkowski (£6.2m, form: 11.0), Bogle (£4.6m, form: 10.0), De Cuyper (£5.0m, form: 8.5).
What are Calafiori's upcoming FPL fixtures?
Calafiori's next fixtures: LEE (H), NFO (A), EVE (H), LIV (A). Average difficulty: 3.0 out of 5.
What is Calafiori's ownership percentage in FPL?
Calafiori is currently owned by 50.6% of FPL managers. As a highly-owned asset, captaining him is important to avoid rank drops when he hauls.
How has Calafiori's FPL price changed this season?
Calafiori started the season at £5.5m and is now priced at £5.9m, a rise of £0.4m. Price has been relatively stable.
Should I buy Calafiori in FPL?
Our analysis gives Calafiori a HOLD rating (45/100). Current form: 3.5, price: £5.9m, ownership: 50.6%.
Will Calafiori rise in FPL price?
Calafiori has net 31,399 transfers in this gameweek, suggesting price could rise.
Who should I get instead of Calafiori?
Top alternatives at similar price: Tarkowski (£6.2m, form: 11.0), Bogle (£4.6m, form: 10.0), De Cuyper (£5.0m, form: 8.5).
Is Calafiori worth a transfer hit in FPL?
At a 45% rating, Calafiori is a reasonable free transfer but probably not worth a -4 hit unless you have no other fires to fight.
What is Calafiori's expected minutes risk?
Calafiori has played 416 minutes this season. Minutes are a concern — he may not be a guaranteed starter, which adds risk to buying him.
How many FPL points does Calafiori have in 2026/27?
Calafiori has 29 total points in the 2026/27 FPL season, with 0 goals, 2 assists, and 2 bonus points from 416 minutes.
Is Calafiori good value in FPL?
At £5.9m, Calafiori delivers 4.9 points per million, which is above the defender average of 3.4. This represents strong value for money.
How much has Calafiori's FPL price changed?
Calafiori started the season at £5.5m and is now £5.9m — a rise of £0.4m.
What are Calafiori's expected stats in FPL 2026/27?
Calafiori's expected stats: 0.7 xG, 0.6 xA, 1.3 xGI. ICT Index: 19 (Influence 72, Creativity 53, Threat 66).

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