Last refreshed
Murillo

MurilloCosta dos Santos

NFO Nott'm Forest Defender
£5.5mPrice
23Points
2.1%Owned
FPLai Verdict

Watchlist

GBP 5.5m with 5.0 form, 2.1% ownership, and an average next-fixture difficulty of 3.0.

Next Action

Compare against alternatives before spending a transfer.

+635 net transfers this gameweek.

Should I buy Murillo?

Murillo (Defender, £5.5m) is the 25th highest-scoring defender in FPL 2026/27 with 23 points and mixed fixtures ahead — an underowned differential worth considering. Our algorithm rates this transfer as BUY with 70% confidence.

BUY
Confidence: 70% · Defender · £5.5m
5.0
Form
+635
Net Transfers
3.2
Avg FDR
4.6
Pts/Game
GWOpponentVenueFDR
GW6 Crystal Palace Away Medium (3)
GW7 Arsenal Home Hard (4)
GW8 Ipswich Town Away Easy (2)
GW9 Brentford Away Medium (3)
GW10 Man City Home Hard (4)
GW11 Bournemouth Away Medium (3)

Alternatives to monitor

Transfer recommendations factor in form trajectory, fixture swing across the next 6 matches, price change probability from net transfer volume, ownership trends, and expected minutes. Alternatives are filtered to the same position within ±£1.5m of Murillo's price and ranked by recent form.

Season stats

Murillo has accumulated 23 points from 449 minutes across 5 starts this season. At £5.5m, that delivers 4.2 points per million, above the defender average of 3.4.

23
Total Points
0
Goals
1
Assists
1
Clean Sheets
0
Bonus
449
Minutes
5
Starts
76
BPS Total

Value and price

£5.5m
Start Price
£5.5m
Current Price
+£0.0m
Price Change
4.2
Pts / £1m

Archive signals

16
Defender Avg Points
3.4
Defender Avg Pts/£m
+42,871
Net Transfers
21
ICT Index
0.4
xG
0.4
xA
0.8
xGI
27
Threat

Season totals are sourced from the FPL bootstrap-static API. Expected stats come from Premier League Opta feeds, ICT Index measures Influence, Creativity and Threat, and price changes reflect market movement since the start of the season. Team context: Nott'm Forest.

Murillo (Defender, £5.5m) is the 25th highest-scoring defender in FPL 2026/27 with 23 points and mixed fixtures ahead — an underowned differential worth considering.

£5.5m
Price
23
Total Points
5.0
Form
2.1%
Ownership
4.6
Pts/Game
449
Minutes

Transfer Activity

+10,503
Transfers In (GW)
-9,868
Transfers Out (GW)

Performance

0
Goals
1
Assists
1
Clean Sheets
0
Bonus Points
1
Yellow Cards
0.42
xG

Upcoming Fixtures

GWOpponentDifficulty
GW6 CRYCRY (A) Medium
GW7 ARSARS (H) Hard
GW8 IPSIPS (A) Easy
GW9 BREBRE (A) Medium
GW10 MCIMCI (H) Hard
GW11 BOUBOU (A) Medium

Related

Data sourced from the official FPL API.

How We Calculate This

Our AI model analyses Murillo's recent form over the last 5 gameweeks, weighting expected goals (xG: 0.42), expected assists (xA: 0.37), and bonus point probability. Fixture difficulty is scored 1–5 based on opponent defensive strength using the official FPL difficulty rating. Transfer recommendations combine form trajectory, fixture swing over the next 6 gameweeks, price change probability based on net transfer volume, and ownership trends. All data is sourced from the official FPL API and refreshed every 3 hours.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Murillo worth buying in FPL?
Murillo is currently priced at £5.5m with a form rating of 5.0. He has scored 23 total points this season and is selected by 2.1% of managers. Consider his upcoming fixtures before investing.
What is Murillo's FPL price?
Murillo's current FPL price is £5.5m. He plays as a defender for Nott'm Forest.
How many FPL points has Murillo scored?
Murillo has scored 23 FPL points this season across 449 minutes played. His form rating is 5.0 and he averages 4.6 points per game.
Is Murillo a good captain in FPL?
Murillo has 5.0 form and an avg fixture difficulty of 3.0. Decent option but fixtures could be better.
Best replacements for Murillo in FPL?
Top alternatives at a similar price: Tarkowski (£6.2m, form: 11.0), Bogle (£4.6m, form: 10.0), De Cuyper (£5.0m, form: 8.5).
What are Murillo's upcoming FPL fixtures?
Murillo's next fixtures: CRY (A), ARS (H), IPS (A), BRE (A). Average difficulty: 3.0 out of 5.
What is Murillo's ownership percentage in FPL?
Murillo is currently owned by 2.1% of FPL managers. With under 10% ownership, he qualifies as a differential pick who could provide significant rank gains.
How has Murillo's FPL price changed this season?
Murillo started the season at £5.5m and is now priced at £5.5m, a rise of £0.0m. Price has been relatively stable.
Should I buy Murillo in FPL?
Our analysis gives Murillo a BUY rating (70/100). Current form: 5.0, price: £5.5m, ownership: 2.1%.
Will Murillo rise in FPL price?
Murillo has net 635 transfers in this gameweek, suggesting price could rise.
Who should I get instead of Murillo?
Top alternatives at similar price: Tarkowski (£6.2m, form: 11.0), Bogle (£4.6m, form: 10.0), De Cuyper (£5.0m, form: 8.5).
Is Murillo worth a transfer hit in FPL?
With a 70% buy rating, Murillo could justify a -4 hit if your current player is injured or blanking. His form of 5.0 and upcoming fixtures (avg FDR 3.2) suggest strong short-term returns.
What is Murillo's expected minutes risk?
Murillo has played 449 minutes this season. Minutes are a concern — he may not be a guaranteed starter, which adds risk to buying him.
How many FPL points does Murillo have in 2026/27?
Murillo has 23 total points in the 2026/27 FPL season, with 0 goals, 1 assists, and 0 bonus points from 449 minutes.
Is Murillo good value in FPL?
At £5.5m, Murillo delivers 4.2 points per million, which is above the defender average of 3.4. This represents strong value for money.
How much has Murillo's FPL price changed?
Murillo started the season at £5.5m and is now £5.5m — a rise of £0.0m.
What are Murillo's expected stats in FPL 2026/27?
Murillo's expected stats: 0.4 xG, 0.4 xA, 0.8 xGI. ICT Index: 21 (Influence 124, Creativity 63, Threat 27).

Get Personalized Transfer Advice

Should you buy Murillo? Rate your FPL team so the transfer fits your whole squad structure.

Analyze my squad