Last refreshed
Smith

AdamSmith

BOU Bournemouth Defender
£4.5mPrice
4Points
0.1%Owned
FPLai Verdict

Avoid/sell

Low form and a difficult run make the current profile weak for new buyers.

Next Action

Compare replacements before the next deadline.

-85 net transfers this gameweek.

Should I buy Smith?

Smith (Defender, £4.5m) is the 104th highest-scoring defender in FPL 2026/27 with 4 points and tough fixtures ahead — form is a concern for current owners. Our algorithm rates this transfer as SELL with 25% confidence.

SELL
Confidence: 25% · Defender · £4.5m
1.0
Form
-85
Net Transfers
3.2
Avg FDR
0.8
Pts/Game
GWOpponentVenueFDR
GW6 Chelsea Away Hard (4)
GW7 Sunderland Home Medium (3)
GW8 Man Utd Away Hard (4)
GW9 Leeds Home Medium (3)
GW10 Ipswich Town Away Easy (2)
GW11 Nott'm Forest Home Medium (3)

Alternatives to monitor

Transfer recommendations factor in form trajectory, fixture swing across the next 6 matches, price change probability from net transfer volume, ownership trends, and expected minutes. Alternatives are filtered to the same position within ±£1.5m of Smith's price and ranked by recent form.

Season stats

Smith has accumulated 4 points from 434 minutes across 5 starts this season. At £4.5m, that delivers 0.9 points per million, below the defender average of 3.4.

4
Total Points
0
Goals
0
Assists
0
Clean Sheets
0
Bonus
434
Minutes
5
Starts
14
BPS Total

Value and price

£4.5m
Start Price
£4.5m
Current Price
+£0.0m
Price Change
0.9
Pts / £1m

Archive signals

16
Defender Avg Points
3.4
Defender Avg Pts/£m
-115
Net Transfers
9
ICT Index
0.0
xG
0.1
xA
0.1
xGI
4
Threat

Season totals are sourced from the FPL bootstrap-static API. Expected stats come from Premier League Opta feeds, ICT Index measures Influence, Creativity and Threat, and price changes reflect market movement since the start of the season. Team context: Bournemouth.

Smith (Defender, £4.5m) is the 104th highest-scoring defender in FPL 2026/27 with 4 points and tough fixtures ahead — form is a concern for current owners.

£4.5m
Price
4
Total Points
1.0
Form
0.1%
Ownership
0.8
Pts/Game
434
Minutes

Transfer Activity

+511
Transfers In (GW)
-596
Transfers Out (GW)

Performance

0
Goals
0
Assists
0
Clean Sheets
0
Bonus Points
3
Yellow Cards
0.01
xG

Upcoming Fixtures

GWOpponentDifficulty
GW6 CHECHE (A) Hard
GW7 SUNSUN (H) Medium
GW8 MUNMUN (A) Hard
GW9 LEELEE (H) Medium
GW10 IPSIPS (A) Easy
GW11 NFONFO (H) Medium

Related

Data sourced from the official FPL API.

How We Calculate This

Our AI model analyses Smith's recent form over the last 5 gameweeks, weighting expected goals (xG: 0.01), expected assists (xA: 0.09), and bonus point probability. Fixture difficulty is scored 1–5 based on opponent defensive strength using the official FPL difficulty rating. Transfer recommendations combine form trajectory, fixture swing over the next 6 gameweeks, price change probability based on net transfer volume, and ownership trends. All data is sourced from the official FPL API and refreshed every 3 hours.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is Smith worth buying in FPL?
Smith is currently priced at £4.5m with a form rating of 1.0. He has scored 4 total points this season and is selected by 0.1% of managers. Consider his upcoming fixtures before investing.
What is Smith's FPL price?
Smith's current FPL price is £4.5m. He plays as a defender for Bournemouth.
How many FPL points has Smith scored?
Smith has scored 4 FPL points this season across 434 minutes played. His form rating is 1.0 and he averages 0.8 points per game.
Is Smith a good captain in FPL?
Smith has 1.0 form and an avg fixture difficulty of 3.7. Consider higher-form alternatives as captain.
Best replacements for Smith in FPL?
Top alternatives at a similar price: Bogle (£4.6m, form: 10.0), De Cuyper (£5.0m, form: 8.5), Schuster (£4.5m, form: 8.5).
What are Smith's upcoming FPL fixtures?
Smith's next fixtures: CHE (A), SUN (H), MUN (A), LEE (H). Average difficulty: 3.7 out of 5.
What is Smith's ownership percentage in FPL?
Smith is currently owned by 0.1% of FPL managers. With under 10% ownership, he qualifies as a differential pick who could provide significant rank gains.
How has Smith's FPL price changed this season?
Smith started the season at £4.5m and is now priced at £4.5m, a rise of £0.0m. Price has been relatively stable.
Should I buy Smith in FPL?
Our analysis gives Smith a SELL rating (25/100). Current form: 1.0, price: £4.5m, ownership: 0.1%.
Will Smith rise in FPL price?
Smith has net 85 transfers out, suggesting price could drop.
Who should I get instead of Smith?
Top alternatives at similar price: Bogle (£4.6m, form: 10.0), De Cuyper (£5.0m, form: 8.5), Schuster (£4.5m, form: 8.5).
Is Smith worth a transfer hit in FPL?
With only a 25% rating, Smith is unlikely to recover the -4 cost quickly. Save your transfer or look at alternatives.
What is Smith's expected minutes risk?
Smith has played 434 minutes this season. Minutes are a concern — he may not be a guaranteed starter, which adds risk to buying him.
How many FPL points does Smith have in 2026/27?
Smith has 4 total points in the 2026/27 FPL season, with 0 goals, 0 assists, and 0 bonus points from 434 minutes.
Is Smith good value in FPL?
At £4.5m, Smith delivers 0.9 points per million, which is below the defender average of 3.4. There may be better value alternatives at this price point.
How much has Smith's FPL price changed?
Smith started the season at £4.5m and is now £4.5m — a rise of £0.0m.
What are Smith's expected stats in FPL 2026/27?
Smith's expected stats: 0.0 xG, 0.1 xA, 0.1 xGI. ICT Index: 9 (Influence 44, Creativity 44, Threat 4).

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